Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.334361 9.303153 10.397338 11.737178 13.351081 15.255588 17.708737
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.721840 7.933331 9.426133 11.446377 14.185366 17.894272 23.541423
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.876384 7.187257 8.897538 11.378062 15.047215 20.589040 30.355890
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.297462 6.651863 8.496477 11.320440 15.806297 23.256752 38.340083
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.967248 6.387250 8.398959 11.640675 17.166149 27.302588 51.350454
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.510171 5.884579 7.879874 11.201707 17.132706 28.787724 59.937370
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.129767 5.451639 7.409038 10.756605 16.972810 29.948790 68.740558
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.847247 5.135558 7.079839 10.493304 17.084952 31.731055 81.304279
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.645046 4.921440 6.885852 10.430783 17.570162 34.577381 101.468467
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.617404 4.969020 7.112354 11.149532 19.849355 43.177321 165.818259
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.533502 4.919744 7.170661 11.560344 21.573098 51.427159 265.491799
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.380873 4.748246 7.002833 11.501454 22.165476 56.463604 376.093203
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.215337 4.556499 6.803481 11.396674 22.747832 62.528413 591.379380
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.032541 4.326739 6.521541 11.092417 22.764734 66.667128 902.896210
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.900773 4.172678 6.361600 11.025391 23.433289 74.635218 1889.694503
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.783227 4.034254 6.217174 10.970275 24.131211 83.877117 5800.424544
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.720294 3.984211 6.231756 11.275774 26.064480 103.791697 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.578135 3.788193 5.952703 10.856942 25.503638 106.434812 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.446109 3.603410 5.683293 10.431880 24.826614 107.735188 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.343185 3.464724 5.494252 10.180251 24.703967 113.857203 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.268398 3.371965 5.388603 10.120481 25.268052 127.741278 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.274258 3.422758 5.570320 10.807136 28.962270 189.232470 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.248650 3.414859 5.632688 11.199154 31.736923 262.381270 NaN